Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCalamity Score: 28

Severe Weather in United States

TrinityUnited StatesNOAA

This alert is in force until 2 September 2026, 20:45 UTC.

It is one of only 4 we have recorded within 20 km of this point since 23 May 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Flash Flood Warning issued September 2 at 1:47PM CDT until September 2 at 3:45PM CDT by NWS Houston/Galveston TX

An estimated 36,333 people live within 50 km of this point.

Nearby, since 23 May 2026

How we know

One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 28 out of 100, at 81 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Computed under scoring rules v4. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)28 / 100
Our confidence81%
Coordinates31.0967, -95.0614
Nearest CityLufkin (42 km)
Population Exposed36.3K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-09-02T18:47:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn%3Aoid%3A2.49.0.1.840.0.2bd3cce93cff40a7fd59a47b423c71e99c59a613.001.1

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
40
population
0
cascading
18
historical

Technical Details

EventFlash Flood Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyLikely
AreaDescPolk, TX; Trinity, TX
HeadlineFlash Flood Warning issued September 2 at 1:47PM CDT until September 2 at 3:45PM CDT by NWS Houston/Galveston TX
Expires2026-09-02T15:45:00-05:00
SenderNameNWS Houston/Galveston TX
HasExactCoordstrue

Safety Information

During flooding: never walk, swim, or drive through floodwaters. Six inches of moving water can knock you down, and one foot of water can sweep away a vehicle. Move to higher ground if waters rise. After flooding, avoid contact with floodwater which may contain sewage, chemicals, or debris. Follow local emergency service guidance.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 28/100 (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.