This alert expired on 7 July 2026 at 10:45 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 2nd strongest of the 10 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 12 March 2026. The last comparable one was on 5 July 2026. 3 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Special Marine Warning issued July 7 at 4:16AM CDT until July 7 at 5:45AM CDT by NWS New Orleans LA
An estimated 111,065 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 12 March 2026
- July 1, 2026 · score 22 · 15.9 km
- March 12, 2026 · score 48 · 22.7 km
How we know
Confirmed by 2 independent sources, including NOAA.
Our own score for this event is 43 out of 100, at 87 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Event Data
| Type | Severe weather |
| Severity | medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 43 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 87% |
| Coordinates | 29.4688, -90.0269 |
| Nearest City | Estelle (43 km) |
| Population Exposed | 111.1K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-07-07T09:16:00.000Z |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Special Marine Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Likely |
| AreaDesc | Barataria Bay; Coastal waters from the Southwest Pass of the Mississippi River to Port Fourchon Louisiana out 20 NM |
| Headline | Special Marine Warning issued July 7 at 4:16AM CDT until July 7 at 5:45AM CDT by NWS New Orleans LA |
| Expires | 2026-07-07T05:45:00-05:00 |
| SenderName | NWS New Orleans LA |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| Iem TypeSummary | M |
| Iem Magnitude | 46 |
| Iem Unit | MPH |
| Iem City | 6 WSW East New Orleans |
| Iem County | GMZ531 |
| Iem State | LA |
| Iem Wfo | LIX |
| Iem Remark | ASOS station KNEW Lakefront Airport measured a wind gust of 46mph or 40 knots. |
| MergedSources | [{"id":"iem_M_30.040_-90.020_1783403580000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783403580000,"latitude":30.04,"longitude":-90.02}] |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 10 February 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 43/100, near Estelle (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 191 scientific monitoring sources.