Calamity
criticalSevere weatherCalamity Score: 58

Severe Weather in United States

MarionUnited StatesNOAA

This alert expired on 16 May 2026 at 22:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

No stronger detection stands among the 33 recorded within 20 km of this point since 15 March 2026 — 3 others scored the same. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 3 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Tornado Warning issued May 16 at 4:47PM CDT until May 16 at 5:00PM CDT by NWS St Louis MO

An estimated 15,087 people live within 50 km of this point.

Nearby, since 15 March 2026

How we know

Confirmed by 3 independent sources, including NOAA.

Our own score for this event is 58 out of 100, at 88 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Event Data

TypeSevere weather
Severitycritical
Calamity Score (ours)58 / 100
Our confidence88%
Coordinates38.5880, -88.7800
Nearest CityMount Vernon (32 km)
Population Exposed15.1K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-05-16T21:47:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.33ec4f7e7fc5ba115ae03f0592d8c0d88623a12e.001.1

Score Breakdown

95
intensity
40
population
0
cascading
80
historical

Technical Details

EventTornado Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyObserved
AreaDescMarion, IL
HeadlineTornado Warning issued May 16 at 4:47PM CDT until May 16 at 5:00PM CDT by NWS St Louis MO
Expires2026-05-16T17:00:00-05:00
SenderNameNWS St Louis MO
HasExactCoordstrue
Iem TypeSummaryD
Iem CityBenton
Iem CountyFranklin
Iem StateIL
Iem WfoPAH
Iem RemarkSeveral reports of dime to nickel sized hail and large branches down in the Benton vicinity.
MergedSources[{"id":"iem_H_38.000_-88.920_1778958300000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1778958300000,"latitude":38,"longitude":-88.92},{"id":"iem_D_38.010_-88.920_1778958900000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1778958900000,"latitude":38.01,"longitude":-88.92}]

Safety Information

If a tornado warning is issued: go to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor, away from windows. A vehicle and a mobile home are not shelter. Cover your head and neck. Wait for the official all-clear before going outside, and watch for downed power lines and gas leaks afterwards.

Series begins 10 February 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 58/100 (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.