Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCalamity Score: 43

Severe Weather in United States

United StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 62 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.

This alert expired on 20 May 2026 at 12:45 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

It is the 17th strongest of the 42 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 9 May 2026. The last comparable one was on 11 May 2026. 15 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Special Marine Warning issued May 20 at 6:48AM CDT until May 20 at 7:45AM CDT by NWS Brownsville TX

An estimated 211,234 people live within 50 km of this point.

Nearby, since 9 May 2026

How we know

One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 43 out of 100, at 81 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)43 / 100
Our confidence81%
Coordinates26.2247, -97.1558
Nearest CitySan Benito (48 km)
Population Exposed211.2K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-05-20T11:48:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.3483909c96a382766583e4b6c738bae44cbc8cf5.001.1

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
70
population
0
cascading
80
historical

Technical Details

EventSpecial Marine Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyLikely
AreaDescLaguna Madre From the Port Of Brownsville to the Arroyo Colorado; Laguna Madre From The Arroyo Colorado To 5 NM North Of Port Mansfield TX; Coastal waters from Port Mansfield TX to the Rio Grande River out 20 NM; Waters from Port Mansfield TX to the Rio Grande River from 20 to 60 NM; Waters from Baffin Bay to Port Mansfield TX from 20 to 60 NM
HeadlineSpecial Marine Warning issued May 20 at 6:48AM CDT until May 20 at 7:45AM CDT by NWS Brownsville TX
Expires2026-05-20T07:45:00-05:00
SenderNameNWS Brownsville TX
HasExactCoordstrue

Safety Information

Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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