Calamity
CriticalSevere WeatherCalamity Score: 63

Severe Weather near Grand Island

HowardUnited StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 20 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.

This alert expired on 17 May 2026 at 22:15 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

No stronger detection stands among the 73 recorded within 20 km of this point since 15 March 2026 — 5 others scored the same. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 9 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Tornado Warning issued May 17 at 4:53PM CDT until May 17 at 5:15PM CDT by NWS Hastings NE

An estimated 51,440 people live within 50 km of this point.

Nearby, since 15 March 2026

How we know

Confirmed by 6 independent sources, including NOAA.

Our own score for this event is 63 out of 100, at 89 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityCritical
Calamity Score (ours)63 / 100
Our confidence89%
Coordinates41.0820, -98.4580
Nearest CityGrand Island (20 km)
Population Exposed51.4K within 50 km
Impact Tiersevere
Timestamp2026-05-17T21:53:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.3534c8eb57d88a040e4a455e92b702e19f87ea26.001.1

Score Breakdown

95
intensity
55
population
0
cascading
80
historical

Technical Details

EventTornado Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyObserved
AreaDescHall, NE; Howard, NE; Merrick, NE
HeadlineTornado Warning issued May 17 at 4:53PM CDT until May 17 at 5:15PM CDT by NWS Hastings NE
Expires2026-05-17T17:15:00-05:00
SenderNameNWS Hastings NE
HasExactCoordstrue
Iem TypeSummaryH
Iem Magnitude2.5
Iem UnitInch
Iem CityAshton
Iem CountySherman
Iem StateNE
Iem WfoGID
MergedSources[{"id":"iem_H_41.230_-98.860_1779053700000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1779053700000,"latitude":41.23,"longitude":-98.86},{"id":"iem_H_41.250_-98.790_1779054660000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1779054660000,"latitude":41.25,"longitude":-98.79},{"id":"iem_T_41.050_-98.570_1779054660000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1779054660000,"latitude":41.05,"longitude":-98.57},{"id":"iem_H_41.120_-98.550_1779054240000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1779054240000,"latitude":41.12,"longitude":-98.55},{"id":"iem_H_41.250_-98.790_1779053400000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1779053400000,"latitude":41.25,"longitude":-98.79}]

Safety Information

If a tornado warning is issued: go to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor, away from windows. A vehicle and a mobile home are not shelter. Cover your head and neck. Wait for the official all-clear before going outside, and watch for downed power lines and gas leaks afterwards.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 63/100, near Grand Island (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.