Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCalamity Score: 32

Severe Weather near Grand Junction

MesaUnited StatesNOAA

This alert is in force until 2 September 2026, 20:30 UTC.

It is the 2nd strongest of the 32 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 15 March 2026. The last comparable one was on 1 September 2026.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Flood Warning issued September 2 at 11:28AM MDT until September 2 at 2:30PM MDT by NWS Grand Junction CO

An estimated 80,247 people live within 50 km of this point.

Nearby, since 15 March 2026

How we know

One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 32 out of 100, at 81 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Computed under scoring rules v4. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)32 / 100
Our confidence81%
Coordinates39.2111, -108.7433
Nearest CityGrand Junction (24 km)
Population Exposed80.2K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-09-02T17:28:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn%3Aoid%3A2.49.0.1.840.0.36ab7c674d65e9c18d6ba099d79ad070c7a185dd.001.1

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
55
population
0
cascading
18
historical

Technical Details

EventFlood Warning
UrgencyExpected
CertaintyLikely
AreaDescMesa, CO
HeadlineFlood Warning issued September 2 at 11:28AM MDT until September 2 at 2:30PM MDT by NWS Grand Junction CO
Expires2026-09-02T14:30:00-06:00
SenderNameNWS Grand Junction CO
HasExactCoordstrue

Safety Information

During flooding: never walk, swim, or drive through floodwaters. Six inches of moving water can knock you down, and one foot of water can sweep away a vehicle. Move to higher ground if waters rise. After flooding, avoid contact with floodwater which may contain sewage, chemicals, or debris. Follow local emergency service guidance.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 32/100, near Grand Junction (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.