Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCalamity Score: 43

Severe Weather near Sierra Vista

Santa CruzUnited StatesNOAA

This alert expired on 21 July 2026 at 05:15 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

It is the 7th strongest of the 39 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 24 June 2026. The last comparable one was on 18 July 2026. 5 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Flash Flood Warning issued July 20 at 8:05PM MST until July 20 at 10:15PM MST by NWS Tucson AZ

An estimated 347,351 people live within 50 km of this point.

Nearby, since 24 June 2026

How we know

One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 43 out of 100, at 81 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)43 / 100
Our confidence81%
Coordinates31.4400, -110.4871
Nearest CitySierra Vista (22 km)
Population Exposed347.4K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-07-21T03:05:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.3ecda43c049193995f5454da85a25a9fc06ba697.001.1

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
70
population
0
cascading
80
historical

Technical Details

EventFlash Flood Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyLikely
AreaDescCochise, AZ; Santa Cruz, AZ
HeadlineFlash Flood Warning issued July 20 at 8:05PM MST until July 20 at 10:15PM MST by NWS Tucson AZ
Expires2026-07-20T22:15:00-07:00
SenderNameNWS Tucson AZ
HasExactCoordstrue

Safety Information

During flooding: never walk, swim, or drive through floodwaters. Six inches of moving water can knock you down, and one foot of water can sweep away a vehicle. Move to higher ground if waters rise. After flooding, avoid contact with floodwater which may contain sewage, chemicals, or debris. Follow local emergency service guidance.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 43/100, near Sierra Vista (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.