This alert expired on 16 July 2026 at 14:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 3rd strongest of the 66 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 15 March 2026. The last comparable one was on 13 July 2026. 10 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Special Marine Warning issued July 16 at 9:15AM EDT until July 16 at 10:00AM EDT by NWS Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
An estimated 2,106,967 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 15 March 2026
- July 20, 2026 · score 52 · 2.0 km
- May 25, 2026 · score 52 · 3.9 km
- July 13, 2026 · score 52 · 5.7 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 52 out of 100, at 82 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Event Data
| Type | Severe weather |
| Severity | medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 52 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 82% |
| Coordinates | 27.8130, -82.4670 |
| Nearest City | Ruskin (11 km) |
| Population Exposed | 2.1M within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-07-16T13:15:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.40901b077fc4baa3e2234012f7eb8e35428d867e.001.1 |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Special Marine Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Likely |
| AreaDesc | Tampa Bay waters |
| Headline | Special Marine Warning issued July 16 at 9:15AM EDT until July 16 at 10:00AM EDT by NWS Tampa Bay Ruskin FL |
| Expires | 2026-07-16T10:00:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Tampa Bay Ruskin FL |
| HasExactCoords | true |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 10 February 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 52/100, near Ruskin (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 188 scientific monitoring sources.