Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 11 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.
This alert expired on 16 May 2026 at 21:15 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 7th strongest of the 29 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 6 May 2026. The last comparable one was on 10 May 2026. 4 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued May 16 at 2:27PM MDT until May 16 at 3:15PM MDT by NWS Denver CO
Nearby, since 6 May 2026
- July 11, 2026 · score 22 · 1.9 km
- July 4, 2026 · score 46 · 18.9 km
- June 9, 2026 · score 46 · 19.8 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 22 out of 100, at 60 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 22 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 60% |
| Coordinates | 39.1740, -103.7620 |
| Nearest City | Cimarron Hills (88 km) |
| Impact Tier | minor |
| Timestamp | 2026-05-16T20:27:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.46cec0178b116cb6e73a7321633599f391a01646.001.1 |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Severe Thunderstorm Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Elbert, CO; Lincoln, CO |
| Headline | Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued May 16 at 2:27PM MDT until May 16 at 3:15PM MDT by NWS Denver CO |
| Expires | 2026-05-16T15:15:00-06:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Denver CO |
| HasExactCoords | true |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Want to know when something happens in this area?
Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 22/100 (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.