This alert expired on 9 July 2026 at 21:30 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
No stronger detection stands among the 29 recorded within 20 km of this point since 17 March 2026 — 9 others scored the same. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 11 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued July 9 at 5:20PM EDT until July 9 at 5:30PM EDT by NWS Buffalo NY
An estimated 370,832 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 17 March 2026
- May 9, 2026 · score 43 · 9.3 km
- July 3, 2026 · score 43 · 10.8 km
- July 4, 2026 · score 43 · 10.8 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 43 out of 100, at 80 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 43 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 80% |
| Coordinates | 43.2978, -77.9744 |
| Nearest City | Gates-North Gates (26 km) |
| Population Exposed | 370.8K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-07-09T21:20:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.4c1f323d625eef8693df016dd08df6a6ab55f1ad.001.1 |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Severe Thunderstorm Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Orleans, NY |
| Headline | Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued July 9 at 5:20PM EDT until July 9 at 5:30PM EDT by NWS Buffalo NY |
| Expires | 2026-07-09T17:30:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Buffalo NY |
| HasExactCoords | true |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Want to know when something happens near Gates-North Gates?
Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 43/100, near Gates-North Gates (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.