MediumSevere WeatherCS: 28 · v5

Severe Weather in United States

GilaUnited StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 76 minutes ago, and this point is in it.

Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.

This alert is in force until 28 September 2026, 12:00 UTC.

It is the only one we have recorded within 20 km of this point since 17 May 2026. The last comparable one was on 12 September 2026.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Flood Watch issued September 27 at 11:17AM PDT until September 29 at 5:00AM PDT by NWS Las Vegas NV

Urban PEI: 15,345 within a heuristic 50 km radius; not unique people.

Nearby, since 17 May 2026

How we know

One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 28 out of 100.

This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.

Computed under scoring rules v5. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)28 / 100
Legacy data-support index0.81/1
Coordinates34.0000, -111.1000
Nearest CityPayson (33 km)
Urban exposure index (PEI)15.3K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-09-28T12:00:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn%3Aoid%3A2.49.0.1.840.0.4e30189fe66ba2ec29f1a10f1f30de205d107f89.001.1

Physical priority index · v5. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.

Source and revision timeline

Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-09-28T12:00:00.000Z.

First archived: 2026-09-27T18:24:09.679Z. Material modification: not recorded.

Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.

5 retained revisions changed source fields this page does not show; the index, severity and version stayed the same.

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
40
Urban PEI term
0
Scenario weight
18
Recorded reference / batch anomaly

Technical Details

EventFlood Watch
MessageIdurn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.4e30189fe66ba2ec29f1a10f1f30de205d107f89.001.1
UrgencyFuture
CertaintyPossible
AreaDescLake Havasu and Fort Mohave; Lake Mead - AZ side; Lake Mohave - AZ side; San Bernardino County-Upper Colorado River Valley; Southern Clark County; Lake Mead - NV side; Lake Mohave - NV side
HeadlineFlood Watch issued September 27 at 11:17AM PDT until September 29 at 5:00AM PDT by NWS Las Vegas NV
Expires2026-09-28T05:00:00-07:00
SenderNameNWS Las Vegas NV
HasExactCoordsfalse

Safety Information

During flooding: never walk, swim, or drive through floodwaters. Six inches of moving water can knock you down, and one foot of water can sweep away a vehicle. Move to higher ground if waters rise. After flooding, avoid contact with floodwater which may contain sewage, chemicals, or debris. Follow local emergency service guidance.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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