Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 3 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
5 other detections within 20 km in the last 24 hours, the nearest 1 km from here.
This alert expired on 12 September 2026 at 21:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
No stronger detection stands among the 117 recorded within 20 km of this point since 15 March 2026 — one other scored the same. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 4 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Flash Flood Warning issued September 12 at 3:55PM EDT until September 12 at 5:00PM EDT by NWS Jacksonville FL
An estimated 256,376 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 15 March 2026
- March 16, 2026 · score 43 · 8.0 km
- March 15, 2026 · score 43 · 8.7 km
- July 30, 2026 · score 43 · 9.5 km
How we know
Confirmed by 2 independent sources, including NOAA.
Our own score for this event is 49 out of 100, at 84 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Computed under scoring rules v4. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | High |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 49 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 84% |
| Coordinates | 29.5129, -81.2186 |
| Nearest City | Palm Coast (8 km) |
| Population Exposed | 256.4K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | severe |
| Timestamp | 2026-09-12T19:55:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn%3Aoid%3A2.49.0.1.840.0.51d1512ca6d2284795029de9ec4371148e04a7b9.001.1 |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Flash Flood Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Likely |
| AreaDesc | Flagler, FL |
| Headline | Flash Flood Warning issued September 12 at 3:55PM EDT until September 12 at 5:00PM EDT by NWS Jacksonville FL |
| Expires | 2026-09-12T17:00:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Jacksonville FL |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| Spc ReportType | tornado |
| Spc Speed | UNK |
| Spc Location | 5 WNW Palm Coast |
| Spc County | Flagler |
| Spc State | FL |
| Spc Comments | [Landspout] Video of a Landspout on the ground was taken and shared to Emergency Management as it formed near US-1 and Matanzas Woods Pkwy in NW section of Palm coast. (JAX) |
| MergedSources | [{"id":"spc_tornado_29.60_-81.28_0","source":"spc","severity":"high","severityValue":78,"timestamp":1789242000000,"latitude":29.6,"longitude":-81.28}] |
Safety Information
During flooding: never walk, swim, or drive through floodwaters. Six inches of moving water can knock you down, and one foot of water can sweep away a vehicle. Move to higher ground if waters rise. After flooding, avoid contact with floodwater which may contain sewage, chemicals, or debris. Follow local emergency service guidance.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
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