Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCalamity Score: 39

Severe Weather near Hagerstown

FranklinUnited StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 7 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.

This alert expired on 20 May 2026 at 17:45 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

It is the 2nd strongest of the 39 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 1 April 2026. The last comparable one was on 13 May 2026. One more was recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued May 20 at 1:03PM EDT until May 20 at 1:45PM EDT by NWS State College PA

An estimated 78,823 people live within 50 km of this point.

Nearby, since 1 April 2026

How we know

One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 39 out of 100, at 82 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)39 / 100
Our confidence82%
Coordinates39.7880, -78.0040
Nearest CityHagerstown (29 km)
Population Exposed78.8K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-05-20T17:03:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.54c69e2c58ebbbfe8181dabcd6b13266850105e2.001.1

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
55
population
0
cascading
80
historical

Technical Details

EventSevere Thunderstorm Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyObserved
AreaDescFranklin, PA; Fulton, PA
HeadlineSevere Thunderstorm Warning issued May 20 at 1:03PM EDT until May 20 at 1:45PM EDT by NWS State College PA
Expires2026-05-20T13:45:00-04:00
SenderNameNWS State College PA
HasExactCoordstrue

Safety Information

Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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