Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCalamity Score: 34

Severe Weather in United States

JeffersonUnited StatesNOAA

This alert expired on 13 May 2026 at 21:51 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

It is the 4th strongest of the 9 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 7 April 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 2 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued May 13 at 3:41PM MDT until May 13 at 3:45PM MDT by NWS Great Falls MT

An estimated 34,190 people live within 50 km of this point.

Nearby, since 7 April 2026

How we know

Confirmed by 6 independent sources, including NOAA.

Our own score for this event is 34 out of 100, at 90 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)34 / 100
Our confidence90%
Coordinates46.1367, -111.9222
Nearest CityButte (49 km)
Population Exposed34.2K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-05-13T21:41:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.55890c33725d993dbec90cb8f06d194629ebe64d.001.1

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
40
population
0
cascading
80
historical

Technical Details

EventSevere Thunderstorm Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyObserved
AreaDescBroadwater, MT; Jefferson, MT
HeadlineSevere Thunderstorm Warning issued May 13 at 3:41PM MDT until May 13 at 3:45PM MDT by NWS Great Falls MT
Expires2026-05-13T15:51:00-06:00
SenderNameNWS Great Falls MT
HasExactCoordstrue
Iem TypeSummaryG
Iem Magnitude62
Iem UnitMPH
Iem City2 ESE Twin Bridges
Iem CountyMadison
Iem StateMT
Iem WfoTFX
Iem RemarkAWOS station KRVF 1 ESE Twin Bridges.
MergedSources[{"id":"iem_N_45.500_-111.700_1778702400000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1778702400000,"latitude":45.5,"longitude":-111.7},{"id":"iem_N_45.500_-111.700_1778698800000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1778698800000,"latitude":45.5,"longitude":-111.7},{"id":"iem_N_45.500_-111.700_1778699700000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1778699700000,"latitude":45.5,"longitude":-111.7},{"id":"iem_G_45.970_-112.500_1778701980000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1778701980000,"latitude":45.97,"longitude":-112.5},{"id":"iem_G_45.530_-112.300_1778704500000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1778704500000,"latitude":45.53,"longitude":-112.3}]

Safety Information

Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 34/100 (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.