Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 5 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.
This alert expired on 27 May 2026 at 18:45 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 16th strongest of the 84 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 17 March 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 4 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued May 27 at 1:57PM EDT until May 27 at 2:45PM EDT by NWS Wakefield VA
Nearby, since 17 March 2026
- June 13, 2026 · score 22 · 1.4 km
- July 8, 2026 · score 22 · 12.3 km
- March 17, 2026 · score 22 · 13.9 km
How we know
Confirmed by 2 independent sources, including NOAA.
Our own score for this event is 22 out of 100, at 64 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 22 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 64% |
| Coordinates | 38.0840, -76.8915 |
| Nearest City | Fredericksburg (55 km) |
| Impact Tier | minor |
| Timestamp | 2026-05-27T17:57:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.587db869723b0e34707960e6c366bc3bb683a772.001.1 |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Severe Thunderstorm Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Caroline, VA; Essex, VA; Richmond, VA; Westmoreland, VA |
| Headline | Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued May 27 at 1:57PM EDT until May 27 at 2:45PM EDT by NWS Wakefield VA |
| Expires | 2026-05-27T14:45:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Wakefield VA |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| Iem TypeSummary | D |
| Iem City | 3 NNW Alsop |
| Iem County | Spotsylvania |
| Iem State | VA |
| Iem Wfo | LWX |
| Iem Remark | There was a call for trees blown down onto wires near the intersection of VA-649 Mill Pond Road and Todds Tavern Drive. |
| MergedSources | [{"id":"iem_D_38.240_-77.670_1779901500000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1779901500000,"latitude":38.24,"longitude":-77.67}] |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
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