This alert expired on 31 May 2026 at 23:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 38th strongest of the 109 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 15 March 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 11 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Watch issued May 31 at 4:30PM CDT until May 31 at 6:00PM CDT by NWS Paducah KY
An estimated 42,595 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 15 March 2026
- August 1, 2026 · score 46 · 0.0 km
- July 21, 2026 · score 28 · 0.0 km
- July 9, 2026 · score 34 · 0.0 km
How we know
Confirmed by 7 independent sources, including NOAA.
Our own score for this event is 34 out of 100, at 89 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Event Data
| Type | Severe weather |
| Severity | medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 34 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 89% |
| Coordinates | 38.5000, -92.3000 |
| Nearest City | Jefferson City (14 km) |
| Population Exposed | 42.6K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-05-31T21:30:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.5f4dbff897f72bedc03568c9a45731810d36b2aa.003.1 |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Severe Thunderstorm Watch |
| Urgency | Future |
| Certainty | Possible |
| AreaDesc | Butler, MO; Cape Girardeau, MO; Carter, MO; Mississippi, MO; New Madrid, MO; Ripley, MO; Scott, MO; Stoddard, MO |
| Headline | Severe Thunderstorm Watch issued May 31 at 4:30PM CDT until May 31 at 6:00PM CDT by NWS Paducah KY |
| Expires | 2026-05-31T18:00:00-05:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Paducah KY |
| HasExactCoords | false |
| Spc ReportType | wind |
| Spc Speed | UNK |
| Spc Location | 1 NE Devil's Elbow |
| Spc County | Pulaski |
| Spc State | MO |
| Spc Comments | MSHP relayed report of a tree down on Highway Z near Trophy Lane. Time estimated from radar. (SGF) |
| Iem TypeSummary | D |
| Iem City | 1 NE Devil's Elbow |
| Iem County | Pulaski |
| Iem State | MO |
| Iem Wfo | SGF |
| Iem Remark | MSHP relayed report of a tree down on Highway Z near Trophy Lane. Time estimated from radar. |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 10 February 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 34/100, near Jefferson City (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 188 scientific monitoring sources.