Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCalamity Score: 32

Severe Weather near Grand Junction

MesaUnited StatesNOAA

This alert is in force until 2 September 2026, 21:30 UTC.

It is the 3rd strongest of the 24 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 1 April 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Flash Flood Warning issued September 2 at 12:37PM MDT until September 2 at 3:30PM MDT by NWS Grand Junction CO

An estimated 80,247 people live within 50 km of this point.

Nearby, since 1 April 2026

How we know

Confirmed by 2 independent sources, including NOAA.

Our own score for this event is 32 out of 100, at 86 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Computed under scoring rules v4. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)32 / 100
Our confidence86%
Coordinates39.0775, -108.7813
Nearest CityGrand Junction (20 km)
Population Exposed80.2K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-09-02T18:37:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn%3Aoid%3A2.49.0.1.840.0.663443da938e7db9d4a6c151a8a6a3856556e2e8.001.1

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
55
population
0
cascading
18
historical

Technical Details

EventFlash Flood Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyLikely
AreaDescMesa, CO
HeadlineFlash Flood Warning issued September 2 at 12:37PM MDT until September 2 at 3:30PM MDT by NWS Grand Junction CO
Expires2026-09-02T15:30:00-06:00
SenderNameNWS Grand Junction CO
HasExactCoordstrue
Iem TypeSummaryR
Iem Magnitude0.7
Iem UnitInch
Iem City40 NE Elgin
Iem CountyGrand
Iem StateUT
Iem WfoGJT
Iem RemarkMesonet station EWCU1 37.6 NE Green River (SNOTEL).
MergedSources[{"id":"iem_R_39.100_-108.700_1788376140000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1788376140000,"latitude":39.1,"longitude":-108.7},{"id":"iem_R_39.100_-108.730_1788357600000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1788357600000,"latitude":39.1,"longitude":-108.73},{"id":"iem_R_39.040_-108.630_1788354000000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1788354000000,"latitude":39.04,"longitude":-108.63},{"id":"iem_N_39.600_-108.820_1788370320000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1788370320000,"latitude":39.6,"longitude":-108.82},{"id":"iem_R_39.140_-108.710_1788354000000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1788354000000,"latitude":39.14,"longitude":-108.71},{"id":"iem_R_39.310_-109.530_1788372000000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1788372000000,"latitude":39.31,"longitude":-109.53}]

Safety Information

During flooding: never walk, swim, or drive through floodwaters. Six inches of moving water can knock you down, and one foot of water can sweep away a vehicle. Move to higher ground if waters rise. After flooding, avoid contact with floodwater which may contain sewage, chemicals, or debris. Follow local emergency service guidance.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 32/100, near Grand Junction (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.