This alert expired on 24 May 2026 at 08:15 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the strongest of the 9 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 15 March 2026. The last comparable one was on 16 May 2026. One more was recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Flash Flood Warning issued May 24 at 2:41AM EDT until May 24 at 4:15AM EDT by NWS Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
An estimated 1,435,651 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 15 March 2026
- May 27, 2026 · score 43 · 12.6 km
How we know
Confirmed by 4 independent sources, including NOAA.
Our own score for this event is 52 out of 100, at 90 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 52 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 90% |
| Coordinates | 28.2744, -82.1350 |
| Nearest City | Wesley Chapel (19 km) |
| Population Exposed | 1.4M within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-05-24T06:41:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.67f11df68598ff33b2f0112669d80c2203f18877.001.1 |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Flash Flood Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Likely |
| AreaDesc | Pasco, FL |
| Headline | Flash Flood Warning issued May 24 at 2:41AM EDT until May 24 at 4:15AM EDT by NWS Tampa Bay Ruskin FL |
| Expires | 2026-05-24T04:15:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Tampa Bay Ruskin FL |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| Iem TypeSummary | R |
| Iem Magnitude | 4.35 |
| Iem Unit | Inch |
| Iem City | 1 NW Lake Griffin |
| Iem County | Lake |
| Iem State | FL |
| Iem Wfo | MLB |
| Iem Remark | Ambient Weather Station. |
| MergedSources | [{"id":"iem_R_28.870_-81.880_1779585300000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1779585300000,"latitude":28.87,"longitude":-81.88},{"id":"iem_R_28.590_-81.890_1779585360000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1779585360000,"latitude":28.59,"longitude":-81.89},{"id":"iem_R_28.860_-81.860_1779585300000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1779585300000,"latitude":28.86,"longitude":-81.86}] |
Safety Information
During flooding: never walk, swim, or drive through floodwaters. Six inches of moving water can knock you down, and one foot of water can sweep away a vehicle. Move to higher ground if waters rise. After flooding, avoid contact with floodwater which may contain sewage, chemicals, or debris. Follow local emergency service guidance.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Want to know when something happens near Wesley Chapel?
Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 52/100, near Wesley Chapel (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.