This alert expired on 3 July 2026 at 22:30 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 6th strongest of the 14 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 13 May 2026. The last comparable one was on 2 July 2026. 4 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued July 3 at 5:37PM EDT until July 3 at 6:30PM EDT by NWS Buffalo NY
An estimated 44,772 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 13 May 2026
- September 2, 2026 · score 37 · 14.0 km
- May 13, 2026 · score 43 · 15.2 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 28 out of 100, at 76 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 28 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 76% |
| Coordinates | 43.1540, -76.8460 |
| Nearest City | Auburn (34 km) |
| Population Exposed | 44.8K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-07-03T21:37:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.6a6d2ee766f04b9402486aa0d90110a9356bf08c.001.1 |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Severe Thunderstorm Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Cayuga, NY; Wayne, NY |
| Headline | Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued July 3 at 5:37PM EDT until July 3 at 6:30PM EDT by NWS Buffalo NY |
| Expires | 2026-07-03T18:30:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Buffalo NY |
| HasExactCoords | true |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Want to know when something happens in this area?
Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 28/100 (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.