This alert is in force until 2 September 2026, 16:00 UTC.
It is the 14th strongest of the 56 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 16 March 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Flash Flood Warning issued September 2 at 8:02AM EDT until September 2 at 12:00PM EDT by NWS Cleveland OH
An estimated 99,475 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 16 March 2026
- June 14, 2026 · score 39 · 16.9 km
- June 26, 2026 · score 43 · 18.0 km
How we know
Confirmed by 3 independent sources, including NOAA.
Our own score for this event is 32 out of 100, at 92 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Computed under scoring rules v4. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 32 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 92% |
| Coordinates | 42.1178, -80.0533 |
| Nearest City | Erie (3 km) |
| Population Exposed | 99.5K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-09-02T12:02:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn%3Aoid%3A2.49.0.1.840.0.6baf4a1c9174742267f03d3dba7f9386df906378.001.1 |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Flash Flood Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Likely |
| AreaDesc | Erie, PA |
| Headline | Flash Flood Warning issued September 2 at 8:02AM EDT until September 2 at 12:00PM EDT by NWS Cleveland OH |
| Expires | 2026-09-02T12:00:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Cleveland OH |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| Spc ReportType | wind |
| Spc Speed | UNK |
| Spc Location | 3 SSW Grand Valley |
| Spc County | Warren |
| Spc State | PA |
| Spc Comments | Multiple trees down along Selkirk Road. (CTP) |
| Iem TypeSummary | D |
| Iem City | 1 NNW Conneaut Lakeshor |
| Iem County | Crawford |
| Iem State | PA |
| Iem Wfo | CLE |
| Iem Remark | Trees and wires down on Reed Avenue. |
Safety Information
During flooding: never walk, swim, or drive through floodwaters. Six inches of moving water can knock you down, and one foot of water can sweep away a vehicle. Move to higher ground if waters rise. After flooding, avoid contact with floodwater which may contain sewage, chemicals, or debris. Follow local emergency service guidance.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Want to know when something happens near Erie?
Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 32/100, near Erie (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.