Calamity
CriticalSevere WeatherCalamity Score: 63

Severe Weather in United States

NacogdochesUnited StatesNOAA

This alert expired on 16 March 2026 at 00:15 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

No stronger detection stands among the 33 recorded within 20 km of this point since 15 March 2026 — 3 others scored the same. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. One more was recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Tornado Warning issued March 15 at 6:39PM CDT until March 15 at 7:15PM CDT by NWS Shreveport LA

An estimated 70,227 people live within 50 km of this point.

Nearby, since 15 March 2026

How we know

One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 63 out of 100, at 77 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityCritical
Calamity Score (ours)63 / 100
Our confidence77%
Coordinates31.4700, -94.3400
Nearest CityNacogdoches (34 km)
Population Exposed70.2K within 50 km
Impact Tiersevere
Timestamp2026-03-15T23:39:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.6d9410e58dca561579dda308b05e4bbfcd426b81.001.1

Score Breakdown

95
intensity
55
population
0
cascading
80
historical

Technical Details

EventTornado Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyObserved
AreaDescNacogdoches, TX; San Augustine, TX
HeadlineTornado Warning issued March 15 at 6:39PM CDT until March 15 at 7:15PM CDT by NWS Shreveport LA
Expires2026-03-15T19:15:00-05:00
SenderNameNWS Shreveport LA
HasExactCoordstrue

Safety Information

If a tornado warning is issued: go to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor, away from windows. A vehicle and a mobile home are not shelter. Cover your head and neck. Wait for the official all-clear before going outside, and watch for downed power lines and gas leaks afterwards.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 63/100 (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.