Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 4 hours ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.
This alert expired on 11 August 2026 at 17:30 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
No stronger detection stands among the 87 recorded within 20 km of this point since 17 March 2026 — one other scored the same. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 30 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Tornado Warning issued August 11 at 1:00PM EDT until August 11 at 1:30PM EDT by NWS Northern Indiana
Urban PEI: 318,948 within a heuristic 50 km radius; not unique people.
Nearby, since 17 March 2026
- August 11, 2026 · score 43 · 15.2 km
- June 12, 2026 · score 67 · 17.5 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 67 out of 100.
This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.
Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Critical |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 67 / 100 |
| Legacy data-support index | 0.79/1 |
| Coordinates | 41.7200, -86.3000 |
| Nearest City | South Bend (6 km) |
| Urban exposure index (PEI) | 318.9K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | severe |
| Timestamp | 2026-08-11T17:00:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.6e1568da2c82a0b3348234bac5481360d8bdb804.001.1 |
Physical priority index · v1. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.
Source and revision timeline
Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-08-11T17:00:00.000Z.
First archived: 2026-08-11T17:15:01.497Z. Material modification: not recorded.
Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Tornado Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Elkhart, IN; Kosciusko, IN; Marshall, IN; St. Joseph, IN; Berrien, MI; Cass, MI |
| Headline | Tornado Warning issued August 11 at 1:00PM EDT until August 11 at 1:30PM EDT by NWS Northern Indiana |
| Expires | 2026-08-11T13:30:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Northern Indiana |
| HasExactCoords | true |
Safety Information
If a tornado warning is issued: go to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor, away from windows. A vehicle and a mobile home are not shelter. Cover your head and neck. Wait for the official all-clear before going outside, and watch for downed power lines and gas leaks afterwards.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Review the area, threshold and delivery channel in your account.
Want to know when something happens near South Bend?