Calamity
mediumSevere weatherCalamity Score: 43

Severe weather near Bayville

United StatesNOAA

This alert expired on 3 August 2026 at 21:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

It is the 5th strongest of the 155 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 12 March 2026. The last comparable one was on 29 July 2026. 7 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Special Marine Warning issued August 3 at 2:53PM EDT until August 3 at 5:00PM EDT by NWS Mount Holly NJ

An estimated 338,325 people live within 50 km of this point.

Nearby, since 12 March 2026

How we know

Confirmed by 3 independent sources, including NOAA.

Our own score for this event is 43 out of 100, at 92 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Event Data

TypeSevere weather
Severitymedium
Calamity Score (ours)43 / 100
Our confidence92%
Coordinates39.8664, -74.0691
Nearest CityBayville (8 km)
Population Exposed338.3K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-08-03T18:53:00.000Z

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
70
population
0
cascading
80
historical

Technical Details

EventSpecial Marine Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyLikely
AreaDescCoastal waters from Manasquan Inlet to Little Egg Inlet NJ out 20 NM; Waters from Manasquan Inlet NJ to Little Egg Inlet NJ from 20 to 60 NM
HeadlineSpecial Marine Warning issued August 3 at 2:53PM EDT until August 3 at 5:00PM EDT by NWS Mount Holly NJ
Expires2026-08-03T17:00:00-04:00
SenderNameNWS Mount Holly NJ
HasExactCoordstrue
Iem TypeSummaryO
Iem City2 WSW Ocean Twp.
Iem CountyMonmouth
Iem StateNJ
Iem WfoPHI
Iem RemarkDowned tree on Garden State Parkway southbound South of Exit 102 - Asbury Ave (Tinton Falls) 1 Right lane of 4 lanes blocked. Tree blown down due to saturated ground.
MergedSources[{"id":"iem_F_40.180_-74.030_1785783420000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1785783420000,"latitude":40.18,"longitude":-74.03},{"id":"iem_O_40.240_-74.090_1785783900000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1785783900000,"latitude":40.24,"longitude":-74.09}]

Safety Information

Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.

Series begins 10 February 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 43/100, near Bayville (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 191 scientific monitoring sources.