Calamity
HighSevere WeatherCalamity Score: 45

Severe Weather near Grand Forks

PolkUnited StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 6 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

2 other detections within 20 km in the last 24 hours, the nearest 13 km from here.

This alert expired on 4 September 2026 at 01:15 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

It is the 2nd strongest of the 29 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 14 May 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued September 3 at 7:19PM CDT until September 3 at 8:15PM CDT by NWS Grand Forks ND

An estimated 57,011 people live within 50 km of this point.

Nearby, since 14 May 2026

How we know

Confirmed by 3 independent sources, including NOAA.

Our own score for this event is 45 out of 100, at 91 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Computed under scoring rules v4. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityHigh
Calamity Score (ours)45 / 100
Our confidence91%
Coordinates47.9654, -96.6746
Nearest CityGrand Forks (27 km)
Population Exposed57.0K within 50 km
Impact Tiersevere
Timestamp2026-09-04T00:19:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn%3Aoid%3A2.49.0.1.840.0.758646c7a6f515ea0536cf79a8c0f0b0533e8145.001.1

Score Breakdown

50
intensity
55
population
0
cascading
80
historical

Technical Details

EventSevere Thunderstorm Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyObserved
AreaDescMarshall, MN; Pennington, MN; Polk, MN; Red Lake, MN
HeadlineSevere Thunderstorm Warning issued September 3 at 7:19PM CDT until September 3 at 8:15PM CDT by NWS Grand Forks ND
Expires2026-09-03T20:15:00-05:00
SenderNameNWS Grand Forks ND
HasExactCoordstrue
Spc ReportTypewind
Spc Speed75
Spc Location6 SW Warren
Spc CountyPolk
Spc StateMN
Spc CommentsNDAWN 3 meter wind gust. (FGF)
Iem TypeSummaryG
Iem Magnitude60
Iem UnitMPH
Iem CityWarren
Iem CountyMarshall
Iem StateMN

Safety Information

Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 45/100, near Grand Forks (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.