Calamity
HighSevere WeatherCalamity Score: 55

Severe Weather near Lake Wales

PolkUnited StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 62 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.

This alert expired on 7 May 2026 at 11:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

No stronger detection stands among the 64 recorded within 20 km of this point since 12 March 2026 — 19 others scored the same. The last comparable one was on 16 March 2026.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Tornado Watch issued May 7 at 1:59AM CDT until May 7 at 6:00AM CDT by NWS Mobile AL

An estimated 237,811 people live within 50 km of this point.

Nearby, since 12 March 2026

How we know

One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 55 out of 100, at 79 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityHigh
Calamity Score (ours)55 / 100
Our confidence79%
Coordinates27.7000, -81.7000
Nearest CityLake Wales (25 km)
Population Exposed237.8K within 50 km
Impact Tiersevere
Timestamp2026-05-07T06:59:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.771cf90f9114e2929e93e5b2f532ae80ca050b0f.001.1

Score Breakdown

65
intensity
70
population
0
cascading
80
historical

Technical Details

EventTornado Watch
UrgencyFuture
CertaintyPossible
AreaDescOkaloosa, FL; Santa Rosa, FL
HeadlineTornado Watch issued May 7 at 1:59AM CDT until May 7 at 6:00AM CDT by NWS Mobile AL
Expires2026-05-07T06:00:00-05:00
SenderNameNWS Mobile AL
HasExactCoordsfalse

Safety Information

If a tornado warning is issued: go to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor, away from windows. A vehicle and a mobile home are not shelter. Cover your head and neck. Wait for the official all-clear before going outside, and watch for downed power lines and gas leaks afterwards.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 55/100, near Lake Wales (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.