Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 10 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.
This alert expired on 2 October 2026 at 19:15 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is one of only 4 we have recorded within 20 km of this point since 15 March 2026. The last comparable one was on 1 October 2026. 3 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Special Marine Warning issued October 2 at 2:12PM EDT until October 2 at 3:15PM EDT by NWS Melbourne FL
Urban PEI: 285,301 within a heuristic 50 km radius; not unique people.
Nearby, since 15 March 2026
- August 6, 2026 · 2.3 km
- June 14, 2026 · 2.7 km
- March 15, 2026 · 4.2 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 37 out of 100.
This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.
Computed under scoring rules v5. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 37 / 100 |
| Legacy data-support index | 0.81/1 |
| Coordinates | 28.7125, -80.7638 |
| Nearest City | Titusville (12 km) |
| Urban exposure index (PEI) | 285.3K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-10-02T18:12:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn%3Aoid%3A2.49.0.1.840.0.7783d1d5c280ddd16563b84f0a6918ef12e7ec58.001.1 |
Physical priority index · v5. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.
Source and revision timeline
Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-10-02T18:12:00.000Z.
First archived: 2026-10-02T18:17:44.158Z. Material modification: not recorded.
Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.
2 retained revisions changed source fields this page does not show; the index, severity and version stayed the same.
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Special Marine Warning |
| MessageId | urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.7783d1d5c280ddd16563b84f0a6918ef12e7ec58.001.1 |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Likely |
| AreaDesc | Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 0-20 nm; Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 0-20 nm |
| Headline | Special Marine Warning issued October 2 at 2:12PM EDT until October 2 at 3:15PM EDT by NWS Melbourne FL |
| Expires | 2026-10-02T15:15:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Melbourne FL |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| Iem TypeSummary | Marine thunderstorm wind |
| Iem LsrCode | M |
| Iem LsrType | MARINE TSTM WIND |
| Iem Magnitude | 48 |
| Iem Unit | MPH |
| Iem City | 2 ENE Titusville Airpor |
| Iem County | AMZ552 |
| Iem State | FL |
| Iem Wfo | MLB |
| Iem Remark | USSF wind sensor on tower 1007 (NASA Causeway) measured a peak wind gust of 48MPH/42KT from the southwest at 2:15 PM. The earliest occurrence of a 48 mph gust was at 2:10 PM. Sensor elevation is 54 fe |
| MergedSources | [{"id":"iem_M_28.530_-80.770_1790964900000","source":"iem","severity":"medium","severityValue":45,"timestamp":1790964900000,"latitude":28.53,"longitude":-80.77}] |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Review the area, threshold and delivery channel in your account.
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