This alert expired on 3 September 2026 at 04:52 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
No stronger detection stands among the 55 recorded within 20 km of this point since 16 March 2026 — one other scored the same. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued September 3 at 12:42AM EDT until September 3 at 12:45AM EDT by NWS Cleveland OH
An estimated 117,846 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 16 March 2026
- June 26, 2026 · score 43 · 2.9 km
- July 18, 2026 · score 43 · 17.7 km
- August 11, 2026 · score 43 · 19.4 km
How we know
Confirmed by 3 independent sources, including NOAA.
Our own score for this event is 49 out of 100, at 93 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Computed under scoring rules v4. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | High |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 49 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 93% |
| Coordinates | 41.9900, -80.2362 |
| Nearest City | Erie (20 km) |
| Population Exposed | 117.8K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | severe |
| Timestamp | 2026-09-03T04:42:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn%3Aoid%3A2.49.0.1.840.0.782a3919f7f22a343ee80c8da625cd8b07c50e77.001.1 |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Severe Thunderstorm Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Erie, PA |
| Headline | Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued September 3 at 12:42AM EDT until September 3 at 12:45AM EDT by NWS Cleveland OH |
| Expires | 2026-09-03T00:52:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Cleveland OH |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| Spc ReportType | hail |
| Spc Speed | 100 |
| Spc Location | 1 N Cochranton |
| Spc County | Crawford |
| Spc State | PA |
| Spc Comments | (CLE) |
| Iem TypeSummary | M |
| Iem Magnitude | 41 |
| Iem Unit | MPH |
| Iem City | 2 NNW Conneaut |
| Iem County | Ashtabula |
| Iem State | OH |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Want to know when something happens near Erie?
Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 49/100, near Erie (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.