Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCalamity Score: 39

Severe Weather near Missoula

MissoulaUnited StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 4 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.

This alert expired on 30 May 2026 at 18:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

No stronger detection stands among the 19 recorded within 20 km of this point since 1 April 2026 — 5 others scored the same. The last comparable one was on 28 May 2026. 2 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Flood Watch issued May 29 at 10:57AM MDT until June 5 at 1:00AM MDT by NWS Missoula MT

An estimated 71,022 people live within 50 km of this point.

Nearby, since 1 April 2026

How we know

One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 39 out of 100, at 80 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)39 / 100
Our confidence80%
Coordinates46.8810, -113.9680
Nearest CityMissoula (2 km)
Population Exposed71.0K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-06-01T02:51:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.78dcf62fccc32c8aeaede8ef8bab1ede8bad26f3.001.1

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
55
population
0
cascading
80
historical

Technical Details

EventFlood Watch
UrgencyFuture
CertaintyPossible
AreaDescMissoula, MT
HeadlineFlood Watch issued May 29 at 10:57AM MDT until June 5 at 1:00AM MDT by NWS Missoula MT
Expires2026-05-30T12:00:00-06:00
SenderNameNWS Missoula MT
HasExactCoordstrue

Safety Information

During flooding: never walk, swim, or drive through floodwaters. Six inches of moving water can knock you down, and one foot of water can sweep away a vehicle. Move to higher ground if waters rise. After flooding, avoid contact with floodwater which may contain sewage, chemicals, or debris. Follow local emergency service guidance.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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