Calamity
mediumSevere weatherCalamity Score: 43

Severe Weather near Palm Valley

United StatesNOAA

This alert expired on 15 July 2026 at 01:30 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

It is the 20th strongest of the 44 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 16 March 2026. The last comparable one was on 10 July 2026. 3 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Special Marine Warning issued July 14 at 8:31PM EDT until July 14 at 9:30PM EDT by NWS Jacksonville FL

An estimated 147,845 people live within 50 km of this point.

Nearby, since 16 March 2026

How we know

One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 43 out of 100, at 81 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Event Data

TypeSevere weather
Severitymedium
Calamity Score (ours)43 / 100
Our confidence81%
Coordinates30.1160, -81.1940
Nearest CityPalm Valley (20 km)
Population Exposed147.8K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-07-15T00:31:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.7e25cdc3bebaf578291204ccb772201584a5abe4.001.1

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
70
population
0
cascading
80
historical

Technical Details

EventSpecial Marine Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyLikely
AreaDescCoastal waters from Fernandina Beach to St. Augustine FL out 20 NM; Waters from Fernandina Beach to St. Augustine FL from 20 to 60 NM
HeadlineSpecial Marine Warning issued July 14 at 8:31PM EDT until July 14 at 9:30PM EDT by NWS Jacksonville FL
Expires2026-07-14T21:30:00-04:00
SenderNameNWS Jacksonville FL
HasExactCoordstrue

Safety Information

Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.

Series begins 10 February 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 43/100, near Palm Valley (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 188 scientific monitoring sources.