Calamity
mediumSevere weatherCalamity Score: 43

Severe Weather near Bonita Springs

United StatesNOAA

This alert expired on 15 July 2026 at 03:15 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

It is the 11th strongest of the 29 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 16 March 2026. The last comparable one was on 10 July 2026. 9 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Special Marine Warning issued July 14 at 10:35PM EDT until July 14 at 11:15PM EDT by NWS Miami FL

An estimated 489,459 people live within 50 km of this point.

Nearby, since 16 March 2026

How we know

One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 43 out of 100, at 81 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Event Data

TypeSevere weather
Severitymedium
Calamity Score (ours)43 / 100
Our confidence81%
Coordinates26.2520, -81.9120
Nearest CityBonita Springs (16 km)
Population Exposed489.5K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-07-15T02:35:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.7e51bb09748e4c8357e8d79816e20e8ca29cb681.001.1

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
70
population
0
cascading
80
historical

Technical Details

EventSpecial Marine Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyLikely
AreaDescCoastal waters from Chokoloskee to Bonita Beach FL out 20 NM
HeadlineSpecial Marine Warning issued July 14 at 10:35PM EDT until July 14 at 11:15PM EDT by NWS Miami FL
Expires2026-07-14T23:15:00-04:00
SenderNameNWS Miami FL
HasExactCoordstrue

Safety Information

Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.

Series begins 10 February 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 43/100, near Bonita Springs (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.