Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 1 minute ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.
This alert expired on 2 August 2026 at 06:45 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 41st strongest of the 145 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 16 March 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 3 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Flash Flood Warning issued August 1 at 10:14PM EDT until August 2 at 2:45AM EDT by NWS Blacksburg VA
Urban PEI: 284,873 within a heuristic 50 km radius; not unique people.
Nearby, since 16 March 2026
- May 27, 2026 · score 43 · 2.4 km
- June 22, 2026 · score 43 · 5.9 km
- July 18, 2026 · score 43 · 10.2 km
How we know
2 recorded sources include NOAA; independence is not established by this count.
Our own score for this event is 43 out of 100.
This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.
Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 43 / 100 |
| Legacy data-support index | 0.86/1 |
| Coordinates | 36.3093, -80.3907 |
| Nearest City | Winston-Salem (27 km) |
| Urban exposure index (PEI) | 284.9K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-08-02T02:14:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.7f689831a7c79383de83bb908b35cf345f1cca29.001.1 |
Physical priority index · v1. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.
Source and revision timeline
Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-08-02T02:14:00.000Z.
First archived: 2026-08-02T02:26:44.853Z. Material modification: not recorded.
Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Flash Flood Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Likely |
| AreaDesc | Stokes, NC; Surry, NC; Yadkin, NC; Patrick, VA |
| Headline | Flash Flood Warning issued August 1 at 10:14PM EDT until August 2 at 2:45AM EDT by NWS Blacksburg VA |
| Expires | 2026-08-02T02:45:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Blacksburg VA |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| Iem TypeSummary | F |
| Iem City | 4 SSW Pilot Mountain |
| Iem County | Surry |
| Iem State | NC |
| Iem Wfo | RNK |
| Iem Remark | Running water has completely flooded Shoals Road and made it impassable just south of its intersection with Fulks Lane. |
| MergedSources | [{"id":"iem_F_36.330_-80.500_1785636000000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1785636000000,"latitude":36.33,"longitude":-80.5}] |
Safety Information
During flooding: never walk, swim, or drive through floodwaters. Six inches of moving water can knock you down, and one foot of water can sweep away a vehicle. Move to higher ground if waters rise. After flooding, avoid contact with floodwater which may contain sewage, chemicals, or debris. Follow local emergency service guidance.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Review the area, threshold and delivery channel in your account.
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