This alert expired on 18 July 2026 at 17:45 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
No stronger detection stands among the 31 recorded within 20 km of this point since 17 March 2026 — one other scored the same. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 3 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Tornado Warning issued July 18 at 1:16PM EDT until July 18 at 1:45PM EDT by NWS Buffalo NY
An estimated 106,175 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 17 March 2026
- July 18, 2026 · score 67 · 2.7 km
- July 22, 2026 · score 34 · 3.1 km
- July 21, 2026 · score 37 · 3.3 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 67 out of 100, at 81 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Critical |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 67 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 81% |
| Coordinates | 42.8640, -77.0870 |
| Nearest City | Auburn (43 km) |
| Population Exposed | 106.2K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | severe |
| Timestamp | 2026-07-18T17:16:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.80dd20041f7f261fbf1bbc107d6aebfa4f77f3d1.001.1 |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Tornado Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Ontario, NY |
| Headline | Tornado Warning issued July 18 at 1:16PM EDT until July 18 at 1:45PM EDT by NWS Buffalo NY |
| Expires | 2026-07-18T13:45:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Buffalo NY |
| HasExactCoords | true |
Safety Information
If a tornado warning is issued: go to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor, away from windows. A vehicle and a mobile home are not shelter. Cover your head and neck. Wait for the official all-clear before going outside, and watch for downed power lines and gas leaks afterwards.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Want to know when something happens in this area?
Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 67/100 (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.