Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 2 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
One other detection within 20 km in the last 24 hours, 2 km from here.
This alert expired on 12 September 2026 at 19:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 14th strongest of the 20 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 14 June 2026. The last comparable one was on 8 August 2026.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued September 12 at 1:28PM CDT until September 12 at 2:00PM CDT by NWS Tulsa OK
An estimated 185,517 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 14 June 2026
- June 14, 2026 · score 67 · 12.1 km
- June 22, 2026 · score 43 · 12.8 km
- August 7, 2026 · score 43 · 12.9 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 37 out of 100, at 81 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Computed under scoring rules v4. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 37 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 81% |
| Coordinates | 36.3567, -93.6600 |
| Nearest City | Rogers (41 km) |
| Population Exposed | 185.5K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-09-12T18:28:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn%3Aoid%3A2.49.0.1.840.0.82fadd37c4d95f8ceb9dbc55d1ed0ee260c01f70.001.1 |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Severe Thunderstorm Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Carroll, AR; Madison, AR |
| Headline | Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued September 12 at 1:28PM CDT until September 12 at 2:00PM CDT by NWS Tulsa OK |
| Expires | 2026-09-12T14:00:00-05:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Tulsa OK |
| HasExactCoords | true |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
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