Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 2 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.
This alert expired on 10 September 2026 at 18:45 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 20th strongest of the 28 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 17 May 2026. The last comparable one was on 3 September 2026. 2 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Special Marine Warning issued September 10 at 2:02PM EDT until September 10 at 2:45PM EDT by NWS Miami FL
An estimated 200,810 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 17 May 2026
- August 6, 2026 · score 37 · 2.4 km
- July 17, 2026 · score 43 · 5.7 km
- August 9, 2026 · score 43 · 5.8 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 37 out of 100, at 82 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Computed under scoring rules v4. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 37 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 82% |
| Coordinates | 26.1033, -81.8767 |
| Nearest City | Naples (9 km) |
| Population Exposed | 200.8K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-09-10T18:02:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn%3Aoid%3A2.49.0.1.840.0.85786f101cb366d46127bd7f97fc1a1c305a455b.001.1 |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Special Marine Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Likely |
| AreaDesc | Coastal waters from Chokoloskee to Bonita Beach FL out 20 NM |
| Headline | Special Marine Warning issued September 10 at 2:02PM EDT until September 10 at 2:45PM EDT by NWS Miami FL |
| Expires | 2026-09-10T14:45:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Miami FL |
| HasExactCoords | true |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
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