Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCalamity Score: 34

Severe Weather near Ashtabula

United StatesNOAA

This alert expired on 2 August 2026 at 21:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

It is the 12th strongest of the 21 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 17 March 2026. The last comparable one was on 21 July 2026. One more was recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Special Marine Warning issued August 2 at 3:31PM EDT until August 2 at 5:00PM EDT by NWS Cleveland OH

An estimated 38,147 people live within 50 km of this point.

Nearby, since 17 March 2026

How we know

Confirmed by 2 independent sources, including NOAA.

Our own score for this event is 34 out of 100, at 85 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)34 / 100
Our confidence85%
Coordinates42.0338, -80.9038
Nearest CityAshtabula (20 km)
Population Exposed38.1K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-08-02T19:31:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.8809587d20c40a3ee2501445bb3bd46ca0756424.001.1

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
40
population
0
cascading
80
historical

Technical Details

EventSpecial Marine Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyLikely
AreaDescWillowick to Geneva-on-the Lake OH; Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH; Willowick to Geneva-on-the-Lake OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-Canadian border; Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-Canadian border
HeadlineSpecial Marine Warning issued August 2 at 3:31PM EDT until August 2 at 5:00PM EDT by NWS Cleveland OH
Expires2026-08-02T17:00:00-04:00
SenderNameNWS Cleveland OH
HasExactCoordstrue
Iem TypeSummaryW
Iem City2 NNW Ashtabula
Iem CountyLEZ148
Iem StateOH
Iem WfoCLE
Iem RemarkObserved waterspout with a picture shared on social media off of Walnut Beach Park.
MergedSources[{"id":"iem_W_41.900_-80.810_1785702000000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1785702000000,"latitude":41.9,"longitude":-80.81}]

Safety Information

Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 34/100, near Ashtabula (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.