This alert expired on 12 August 2026 at 20:45 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 4th strongest of the 110 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 11 March 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 5 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Tornado Warning issued August 12 at 4:15PM EDT until August 12 at 4:45PM EDT by NWS Paducah KY
An estimated 15,451 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 11 March 2026
- July 3, 2026 · score 43 · 13.9 km
- May 31, 2026 · score 34 · 14.4 km
- May 30, 2026 · score 34 · 14.4 km
How we know
Confirmed by 2 independent sources, including NOAA.
Our own score for this event is 58 out of 100, at 85 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Event Data
| Type | Severe weather |
| Severity | critical |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 58 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 85% |
| Coordinates | 38.3050, -87.1367 |
| Nearest City | Jasper (20 km) |
| Population Exposed | 15.5K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-08-12T20:15:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.93d3e93522de423719b3cd03c7b40e1e9e611870.001.1 |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Tornado Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Pike, IN |
| Headline | Tornado Warning issued August 12 at 4:15PM EDT until August 12 at 4:45PM EDT by NWS Paducah KY |
| Expires | 2026-08-12T16:45:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Paducah KY |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| Iem TypeSummary | D |
| Iem City | 3 NNW Bruceville |
| Iem County | Knox |
| Iem State | IN |
| Iem Wfo | IND |
| Iem Remark | Possible tornado. Debris in the air and trees blown down. |
| MergedSources | [{"id":"iem_D_38.790_-87.440_1786561500000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1786561500000,"latitude":38.79,"longitude":-87.44}] |
Safety Information
If a tornado warning is issued: go to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor, away from windows. A vehicle and a mobile home are not shelter. Cover your head and neck. Wait for the official all-clear before going outside, and watch for downed power lines and gas leaks afterwards.
Series begins 10 February 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 58/100, near Jasper (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 188 scientific monitoring sources.