Calamity
CriticalSevere WeatherCalamity Score: 46

Severe Weather in United States

GrantUnited StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 4 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.

This alert expired on 16 May 2026 at 05:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

No stronger detection stands among the 25 recorded within 20 km of this point since 16 March 2026 — one other scored the same. The last comparable one was on 24 April 2026.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Tornado Warning issued May 15 at 11:34PM CDT until May 16 at 12:00AM CDT by NWS La Crosse WI

How we know

One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 46 out of 100, at 60 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityCritical
Calamity Score (ours)46 / 100
Our confidence60%
Coordinates43.0433, -90.6167
Nearest CityDubuque (61 km)
Impact Tierminor
Timestamp2026-05-16T04:34:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.94190f19b651c92caa2096660cc07c189f683a32.001.1

Score Breakdown

95
intensity
0
population
0
cascading
80
historical

Technical Details

EventTornado Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyObserved
AreaDescGrant, WI
HeadlineTornado Warning issued May 15 at 11:34PM CDT until May 16 at 12:00AM CDT by NWS La Crosse WI
Expires2026-05-16T00:00:00-05:00
SenderNameNWS La Crosse WI
HasExactCoordstrue

Safety Information

If a tornado warning is issued: go to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor, away from windows. A vehicle and a mobile home are not shelter. Cover your head and neck. Wait for the official all-clear before going outside, and watch for downed power lines and gas leaks afterwards.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 46/100 (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.