This alert expired on 4 July 2026 at 09:15 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 4th strongest of the 38 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 31 March 2026. The last comparable one was on 16 June 2026.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Flash Flood Warning issued July 4 at 2:22AM EDT until July 4 at 5:15AM EDT by NWS Northern Indiana
An estimated 265,573 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 31 March 2026
- July 27, 2026 · score 43 · 4.5 km
- May 18, 2026 · score 43 · 5.5 km
- June 12, 2026 · score 67 · 19.4 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 43 out of 100, at 80 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Event Data
| Type | Severe weather |
| Severity | medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 43 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 80% |
| Coordinates | 41.3827, -86.1545 |
| Nearest City | Mishawaka (31 km) |
| Population Exposed | 265.6K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-07-04T06:22:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.9518a92cc31cba67213f70e849d123452a2c25d8.001.1 |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Flash Flood Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Likely |
| AreaDesc | Elkhart, IN; Kosciusko, IN; Marshall, IN; St. Joseph, IN |
| Headline | Flash Flood Warning issued July 4 at 2:22AM EDT until July 4 at 5:15AM EDT by NWS Northern Indiana |
| Expires | 2026-07-04T05:15:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Northern Indiana |
| HasExactCoords | true |
Safety Information
During flooding: never walk, swim, or drive through floodwaters. Six inches of moving water can knock you down, and one foot of water can sweep away a vehicle. Move to higher ground if waters rise. After flooding, avoid contact with floodwater which may contain sewage, chemicals, or debris. Follow local emergency service guidance.
Series begins 10 February 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 43/100 (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 188 scientific monitoring sources.