Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 4 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
21 other detections within 20 km in the last 24 hours, the nearest 5 km from here.
This alert expired on 19 September 2026 at 23:45 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 10th strongest of the 99 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 11 April 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 3 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued September 19 at 5:07PM MDT until September 19 at 5:45PM MDT by NWS Goodland KS
Nearby, since 11 April 2026
- September 19, 2026 · score 28 · 4.6 km
- September 20, 2026 · score 28 · 6.6 km
- June 9, 2026 · score 46 · 10.2 km
How we know
2 recorded sources include NOAA; independence is not established by this count.
Our own score for this event is 28 out of 100.
This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.
Computed under scoring rules v5. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | High |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 28 / 100 |
| Legacy data-support index | 0.64/1 |
| Coordinates | 39.1867, -102.5600 |
| Nearest City | Cimarron Hills (188 km) |
| Urban exposure index (PEI) | 0 within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | minor |
| Timestamp | 2026-09-19T23:07:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn%3Aoid%3A2.49.0.1.840.0.9afce88e88485691bf5d25496e6ced0b8007a7e6.001.1 |
Physical priority index · v5. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.
Source and revision timeline
Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-09-19T23:07:00.000Z.
First archived: 2026-09-19T23:21:49.202Z. Material modification: not recorded.
Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Severe Thunderstorm Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Kit Carson, CO |
| Headline | Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued September 19 at 5:07PM MDT until September 19 at 5:45PM MDT by NWS Goodland KS |
| Expires | 2026-09-19T17:45:00-06:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Goodland KS |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| Spc ReportType | hail |
| Spc Speed | 175 |
| Spc Location | 3 E Flagler |
| Spc County | Kit Carson |
| Spc State | CO |
| Spc Comments | Public reported golf ball size hail near Flagler... CO. (GLD) |
| MergedSources | [{"id":"spc_hail_39.29_-103.10_59","source":"spc","severity":"high","severityValue":65,"timestamp":1789856160000,"latitude":39.29,"longitude":-103.1},{"id":"spc_hail_39.29_-103.01_60","source":"spc","severity":"high","severityValue":65,"timestamp":1789857300000,"latitude":39.29,"longitude":-103.01}] |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
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