Calamity
mediumSevere weatherCalamity Score: 52

Severe weather near Guilford

United StatesNOAA

This alert expired on 13 August 2026 at 06:15 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

No stronger detection stands among the 27 recorded within 20 km of this point since 11 June 2026 — 8 others scored the same. The last comparable one was on 11 August 2026. 6 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Special Marine Warning issued August 13 at 12:47AM EDT until August 13 at 2:15AM EDT by NWS Upton NY

An estimated 1,378,461 people live within 50 km of this point.

Nearby, since 11 June 2026

How we know

One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 52 out of 100, at 80 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Event Data

TypeSevere weather
Severitymedium
Calamity Score (ours)52 / 100
Our confidence80%
Coordinates41.2029, -72.6890
Nearest CityGuilford (10 km)
Population Exposed1.4M within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-08-13T04:47:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.9f90214a9a239b80fe8c1012959015ad58721d87.001.1

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
100
population
0
cascading
80
historical

Technical Details

EventSpecial Marine Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyLikely
AreaDescLong Island Sound East of New Haven CT/Port Jefferson NY to the Mouth of the Connecticut River; Long Island Sound East of the Mouth of the Connecticut River; Long Island Sound West of New Haven CT/Port Jefferson NY
HeadlineSpecial Marine Warning issued August 13 at 12:47AM EDT until August 13 at 2:15AM EDT by NWS Upton NY
Expires2026-08-13T02:15:00-04:00
SenderNameNWS Upton NY
HasExactCoordstrue

Safety Information

Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.

Series begins 10 February 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 52/100, near Guilford (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 188 scientific monitoring sources.