Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 2 minutes ago, and this point is in it.
Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.
This alert is in force until 10 September 2026, 21:15 UTC.
It is the 16th strongest of the 30 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 2 June 2026. The last comparable one was on 27 August 2026. 2 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Flash Flood Warning issued September 10 at 1:12PM MDT until September 10 at 3:15PM MDT by NWS El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
An estimated 30,753 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 2 June 2026
- August 27, 2026 · score 34 · 5.3 km
- June 2, 2026 · score 34 · 13.1 km
- June 18, 2026 · score 34 · 16.0 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 28 out of 100, at 82 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Computed under scoring rules v4. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 28 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 82% |
| Coordinates | 32.7975, -105.5438 |
| Nearest City | Alamogordo (41 km) |
| Population Exposed | 30.8K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-09-10T19:12:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn%3Aoid%3A2.49.0.1.840.0.a08006856f369f2b93fcde417d68d138d0af6616.001.1 |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Flash Flood Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Likely |
| AreaDesc | Otero, NM |
| Headline | Flash Flood Warning issued September 10 at 1:12PM MDT until September 10 at 3:15PM MDT by NWS El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM |
| Expires | 2026-09-10T15:15:00-06:00 |
| SenderName | NWS El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM |
| HasExactCoords | true |
Safety Information
During flooding: never walk, swim, or drive through floodwaters. Six inches of moving water can knock you down, and one foot of water can sweep away a vehicle. Move to higher ground if waters rise. After flooding, avoid contact with floodwater which may contain sewage, chemicals, or debris. Follow local emergency service guidance.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
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