Calamity
HighSevere WeatherCS: 28 · v5

Severe Weather in United States

United StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 7 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

12 other detections within 20 km in the last 24 hours, the nearest <1 km from here.

This alert expired on 16 September 2026 at 23:30 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

No stronger detection stands among the 22 recorded within 20 km of this point since 15 March 2026 — 6 others scored the same. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 7 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Flood Warning issued September 16 at 3:51PM MDT until September 16 at 5:30PM MDT by NWS Salt Lake City UT

Nearby, since 15 March 2026

How we know

3 recorded sources include NOAA; independence is not established by this count.

Our own score for this event is 28 out of 100.

This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.

Computed under scoring rules v5. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityHigh
Calamity Score (ours)28 / 100
Legacy data-support index0.71/1
Coordinates39.4387, -110.8475
Nearest CityPayson (101 km)
Urban exposure index (PEI)0 within 50 km
Impact Tierminor
Timestamp2026-09-16T21:51:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn%3Aoid%3A2.49.0.1.840.0.a3429469ec904a4a6a330c4c6955bfb1bc867819.001.1

Physical priority index · v5. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.

Source and revision timeline

Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-09-16T21:51:00.000Z.

First archived: 2026-09-16T21:53:16.415Z. Material modification: 2026-09-16T22:31:59.669Z.

Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.

  1. 2026-09-16T23:21:45.305Z · data_change

    Index 2828; severity highhigh; version 55.

  2. 2026-09-16T23:10:18.838Z · data_change

    Index 2828; severity highhigh; version 55.

  3. 2026-09-16T22:53:53.360Z · data_change

    Index 2828; severity highhigh; version 55.

  4. 2026-09-16T22:48:24.518Z · data_change

    Index 2828; severity highhigh; version 55.

  5. 2026-09-16T22:37:28.612Z · data_change

    Index 2828; severity highhigh; version 55.

  6. 2026-09-16T22:31:59.669Z · data_change

    Index 1628; severity mediumhigh; version 55.

  7. 2026-09-16T22:26:33.712Z · data_change

    Index 1616; severity mediummedium; version 55.

  8. 2026-09-16T22:21:05.418Z · data_change

    Index 1616; severity mediummedium; version 55.

  9. 2026-09-16T22:04:16.095Z · data_change

    Index 1616; severity mediummedium; version 55.

Score Breakdown

50
intensity
0
Urban PEI term
0
Scenario weight
80
Recorded reference / batch anomaly

Technical Details

EventFlood Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyLikely
AreaDescCarbon, UT; Emery, UT
HeadlineFlood Warning issued September 16 at 3:51PM MDT until September 16 at 5:30PM MDT by NWS Salt Lake City UT
Expires2026-09-16T17:30:00-06:00
SenderNameNWS Salt Lake City UT
HasExactCoordstrue
Spc ReportTypehail
Spc Speed100
Spc Location1 E Sunnyside
Spc CountyCarbon
Spc StateUT
Spc CommentsTrained spotter reported quarter sized hail reported in Sunnyside... UT. (SLC)
Iem TypeSummaryH
Iem Magnitude1
Iem UnitInch
Iem City1 E Sunnyside
Iem CountyCarbon
Iem StateUT

Safety Information

During flooding: never walk, swim, or drive through floodwaters. Six inches of moving water can knock you down, and one foot of water can sweep away a vehicle. Move to higher ground if waters rise. After flooding, avoid contact with floodwater which may contain sewage, chemicals, or debris. Follow local emergency service guidance.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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