This alert expired on 16 May 2026 at 21:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 7th strongest of the 36 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 23 March 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 4 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued May 16 at 4:44PM EDT until May 16 at 5:00PM EDT by NWS Louisville KY
An estimated 15,451 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 23 March 2026
- June 27, 2026 · score 48 · 11.6 km
- June 22, 2026 · score 48 · 14.7 km
- May 20, 2026 · score 34 · 21.4 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 34 out of 100, at 80 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Event Data
| Type | Severe weather |
| Severity | medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 34 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 80% |
| Coordinates | 38.3960, -86.4060 |
| Nearest City | Jasper (46 km) |
| Population Exposed | 15.5K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Date | 2026-05-16 — time not reported by the source |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.a73b3acb17b0a03d719e7a87d02c859352e64233.001.1 |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Severe Thunderstorm Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Crawford, IN; Orange, IN |
| Headline | Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued May 16 at 4:44PM EDT until May 16 at 5:00PM EDT by NWS Louisville KY |
| Expires | 2026-05-16T17:00:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Louisville KY |
| HasExactCoords | true |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 10 February 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Want to know when something happens in this area?
Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 34/100 (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.