This alert expired on 15 June 2026 at 01:49 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
No stronger detection stands among the 71 recorded within 20 km of this point since 17 March 2026 — 2 others scored the same. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 8 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Tornado Warning issued June 14 at 9:40PM EDT until June 14 at 9:45PM EDT by NWS State College PA
An estimated 421,221 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 17 March 2026
- August 8, 2026 · score 37 · 4.2 km
- June 15, 2026 · score 37 · 5.0 km
- August 28, 2026 · score 43 · 11.3 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 67 out of 100, at 81 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Event Data
| Type | Severe weather |
| Severity | critical |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 67 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 81% |
| Coordinates | 39.8245, -76.0818 |
| Nearest City | Lancaster (31 km) |
| Population Exposed | 421.2K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | severe |
| Timestamp | 2026-06-15T01:40:00.000Z |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Tornado Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Lancaster, PA |
| Headline | Tornado Warning issued June 14 at 9:40PM EDT until June 14 at 9:45PM EDT by NWS State College PA |
| Expires | 2026-06-14T21:49:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS State College PA |
| HasExactCoords | true |
Safety Information
If a tornado warning is issued: go to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor, away from windows. A vehicle and a mobile home are not shelter. Cover your head and neck. Wait for the official all-clear before going outside, and watch for downed power lines and gas leaks afterwards.
Series begins 10 February 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 67/100, near Lancaster (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 191 scientific monitoring sources.