This alert expired on 15 July 2026 at 22:15 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 612th strongest of the 761 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 10 March 2026. The last comparable one was on 9 July 2026. 58 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Special Marine Warning issued July 15 at 4:40PM EDT until July 15 at 6:15PM EDT by NWS Upton NY
An estimated 27,563,843 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 10 March 2026
- August 8, 2026 · score 52 · 2.3 km
- August 8, 2026 · score 52 · 3.0 km
- March 17, 2026 · score 52 · 4.5 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 52 out of 100, at 81 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Event Data
| Type | Severe weather |
| Severity | medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 52 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 81% |
| Coordinates | 40.6271, -73.8305 |
| Nearest City | Howard Beach (4 km) |
| Population Exposed | 27.6M within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-07-15T20:40:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.b0c49bdb7247b1ff8ff44e5f18ae9fbbe6191d19.001.1 |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Special Marine Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Likely |
| AreaDesc | Long Island Sound West of New Haven CT/Port Jefferson NY; New York Harbor; South Shore Bays from Jones Inlet through Shinnecock Bay; Fire Island Inlet NY to Moriches Inlet NY out 20 NM; Sandy Hook NJ to Fire Island Inlet NY out 20 NM |
| Headline | Special Marine Warning issued July 15 at 4:40PM EDT until July 15 at 6:15PM EDT by NWS Upton NY |
| Expires | 2026-07-15T18:15:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Upton NY |
| HasExactCoords | true |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 10 February 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Want to know when something happens near Howard Beach?
Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 52/100, near Howard Beach (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.