MediumSevere WeatherCS: 32 · v5

Severe Weather in United States

United StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 48 minutes ago, and this point is in it.

This alert is in force until 27 September 2026, 12:00 UTC.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Storm Warning issued September 27 at 4:41AM EDT until September 27 at 8:00AM EDT by NWS Upton NY

Urban PEI: 56,312 within a heuristic 50 km radius; not unique people.

How we know

One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 32 out of 100.

This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.

Computed under scoring rules v5. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)32 / 100
Legacy data-support index0.82/1
Coordinates34.8000, -106.2000
Nearest CityLos Lunas (48 km)
Urban exposure index (PEI)56.3K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-09-27T08:41:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn%3Aoid%3A2.49.0.1.840.0.5e82bb4596ad8dee28b95361752d274419777980.004.1

Physical priority index · v5. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.

Source and revision timeline

Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-09-27T08:41:00.000Z.

First archived: 2026-09-27T08:44:41.860Z. Material modification: not recorded.

Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
55
Urban PEI term
0
Scenario weight
18
Recorded reference / batch anomaly

Technical Details

EventStorm Warning
MessageIdurn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.5e82bb4596ad8dee28b95361752d274419777980.004.1
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyObserved
AreaDescFire Island Inlet NY to Moriches Inlet NY out 20 NM
HeadlineStorm Warning issued September 27 at 4:41AM EDT until September 27 at 8:00AM EDT by NWS Upton NY
Expires2026-09-27T08:00:00-04:00
SenderNameNWS Upton NY
HasExactCoordsfalse

Safety Information

Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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