Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 5 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.
This alert expired on 13 July 2026 at 00:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
No stronger detection stands among the 10 recorded within 20 km of this point since 25 May 2026 — 9 others scored the same. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 3 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued July 12 at 4:47PM MST until July 12 at 5:00PM MST by NWS Flagstaff AZ
An estimated 84,096 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 25 May 2026
- May 25, 2026 · score 39 · 8.5 km
- July 14, 2026 · score 39 · 20.1 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 39 out of 100, at 80 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 39 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 80% |
| Coordinates | 34.3220, -112.6140 |
| Nearest City | Prescott (28 km) |
| Population Exposed | 84.1K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-07-12T23:47:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.ba4491ede612ce81ae7fc3c581de095dbcf167cc.001.1 |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Severe Thunderstorm Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Yavapai, AZ |
| Headline | Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued July 12 at 4:47PM MST until July 12 at 5:00PM MST by NWS Flagstaff AZ |
| Expires | 2026-07-12T17:00:00-07:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Flagstaff AZ |
| HasExactCoords | true |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
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