Severe weather near South Riding
This alert expired on 19 May 2026 at 21:30 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 5th strongest of the 97 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 13 March 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. One more was recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued May 19 at 5:17PM EDT until May 19 at 5:30PM EDT by NWS Baltimore MD/Washington DC
An estimated 1,810,170 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 13 March 2026
- March 17, 2026 · score 52 · 3.4 km
- March 16, 2026 · score 76 · 5.7 km
- July 5, 2026 · score 52 · 7.3 km
How we know
Confirmed by 2 independent sources, including NOAA.
Our own score for this event is 52 out of 100, at 85 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Event Data
| Type | Severe weather |
| Severity | medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 52 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 85% |
| Coordinates | 38.9160, -77.6220 |
| Nearest City | South Riding (11 km) |
| Population Exposed | 1.8M within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-05-19T21:17:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.bb1c337a9a1c83f2acf1ea511a2e28e4c190253b.001.1 |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Severe Thunderstorm Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Fairfax, VA; Fauquier, VA; Loudoun, VA; Prince William, VA |
| Headline | Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued May 19 at 5:17PM EDT until May 19 at 5:30PM EDT by NWS Baltimore MD/Washington DC |
| Expires | 2026-05-19T17:30:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Baltimore MD/Washington DC |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| Google News RssFeed | weather |
| Google News SourceName | AOL.com |
| MergedSources | [{"id":"gnews_weather_494225_137","source":"google_news","severity":"medium","severityValue":40,"timestamp":1779211847000,"latitude":38.9,"longitude":-77.04}] |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 10 February 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 52/100, near South Riding (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 188 scientific monitoring sources.