Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCS: 16 · v5

Severe Weather in United States

United StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 1 minute ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

One other detection within 20 km in the last 24 hours, 14 km from here.

This alert expired on 15 September 2026 at 22:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

It is the 12th strongest of the 17 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 16 March 2026. The last comparable one was on 10 September 2026. 3 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Special Marine Warning issued September 15 at 5:04PM EDT until September 15 at 6:00PM EDT by NWS Tallahassee FL

Nearby, since 16 March 2026

How we know

One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 16 out of 100.

This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.

Computed under scoring rules v5. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)16 / 100
Legacy data-support index0.60/1
Coordinates29.4764, -83.7345
Nearest CityTallahassee (119 km)
Urban exposure index (PEI)0 within 50 km
Impact Tierminor
Timestamp2026-09-15T21:04:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn%3Aoid%3A2.49.0.1.840.0.bef170496bab2e8a680b29f6974dd3a0521d1855.001.1

Physical priority index · v5. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.

Source and revision timeline

Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-09-15T21:04:00.000Z.

First archived: 2026-09-15T21:10:33.618Z. Material modification: not recorded.

Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
0
Urban PEI term
0
Scenario weight
18
Recorded reference / batch anomaly

Technical Details

EventSpecial Marine Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyLikely
AreaDescCoastal waters from Suwannee River to Keaton Beach out 20 NM; Waters from Suwannee River to Apalachicola FL from 20 to 60 NM
HeadlineSpecial Marine Warning issued September 15 at 5:04PM EDT until September 15 at 6:00PM EDT by NWS Tallahassee FL
Expires2026-09-15T18:00:00-04:00
SenderNameNWS Tallahassee FL
HasExactCoordstrue

Safety Information

Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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