Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 2 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
One other detection within 20 km in the last 24 hours, 5 km from here.
This alert is in force until 13 September 2026, 14:00 UTC.
It is the 125th strongest of the 182 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 12 March 2026. The last comparable one was on 2 September 2026. 7 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Flash Flood Warning issued September 13 at 5:54AM EDT until September 13 at 10:00AM EDT by NWS Mount Holly NJ
An estimated 26,272,273 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 12 March 2026
- July 15, 2026 · score 52 · 1.1 km
- August 3, 2026 · score 66 · 2.9 km
- July 21, 2026 · score 46 · 4.0 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 46 out of 100, at 81 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Computed under scoring rules v4. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 46 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 81% |
| Coordinates | 40.8529, -74.3810 |
| Nearest City | Parsippany (4 km) |
| Population Exposed | 26.3M within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-09-13T09:54:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn%3Aoid%3A2.49.0.1.840.0.befd183cba950bc4c0f1ec7e95a31cd53a8fbdbd.001.1 |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Flash Flood Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Likely |
| AreaDesc | Morris, NJ |
| Headline | Flash Flood Warning issued September 13 at 5:54AM EDT until September 13 at 10:00AM EDT by NWS Mount Holly NJ |
| Expires | 2026-09-13T10:00:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Mount Holly NJ |
| HasExactCoords | true |
Safety Information
During flooding: never walk, swim, or drive through floodwaters. Six inches of moving water can knock you down, and one foot of water can sweep away a vehicle. Move to higher ground if waters rise. After flooding, avoid contact with floodwater which may contain sewage, chemicals, or debris. Follow local emergency service guidance.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
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